Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.251202 1.528717 1.883768 2.384656 3.096612 4.113050 5.759758
2025-02-23 0.898712 1.209196 1.670393 2.455080 3.881978 6.709521 14.125449
2025-03-02 0.729136 1.045022 1.564709 2.582029 4.859308 11.126983 42.655978
2025-03-09 0.609270 0.910535 1.441973 2.594304 5.643002 17.105738 163.665429
2025-03-16 0.514320 0.789887 1.299105 2.484911 6.042861 23.627109 1028.615653
2025-03-23 0.465893 0.737589 1.266831 2.607818 7.331070 42.716865 NaN
2025-03-30 0.420201 0.680225 1.207032 2.632195 8.373317 74.733016 NaN
2025-04-06 0.377284 0.620263 1.126328 2.561914 8.975616 121.257964 NaN
2025-04-13 0.343370 0.572398 1.061522 2.511655 9.682448 219.501588 NaN
2025-04-20 0.329710 0.562506 1.081206 2.742177 12.684834 1410.054713 NaN
2025-04-27 0.312867 0.543305 1.073918 2.881730 15.693666 390859.146483 NaN
2025-05-04 0.291950 0.512567 1.031124 2.869672 17.513859 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.269124 0.475673 0.967360 2.754753 18.131491 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.255640 0.457740 0.950869 2.834740 21.905258 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.245726 0.446446 0.950139 2.989248 28.430107 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.232831 0.426850 0.922329 3.004069 33.077898 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.217472 0.400047 0.869404 2.869684 33.531226 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.210566 0.392172 0.870532 3.020631 44.860533 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.201473 0.378182 0.850907 3.050645 53.909536 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.190797 0.359456 0.813953 2.964174 57.242842 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.181538 0.343403 0.783137 2.902466 62.216322 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.179311 0.344172 0.805378 3.186371 106.215583 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.175014 0.339400 0.809010 3.359301 166.729793 NaN NaN